#statistical-section
- IBIT options
What IBIT options are
- __Tail Hedging
"Thus, the stock market tends to be about immediate bets (or expectations) on distant outcomes—yet all that matters to the bettors tend to…
- _Dictionary
Greed Trumps Fear Every Time In The Stock Market
- _How to tail hedge
Here's a simple way of protecting a stock portfolio against market risk using optimal, or least expensive, puts on SPY.
- 3 Good Things about Price Gouging
As so often happens in the wake of a natural disaster, government officials in Texas are currently investigating claims of “price…
- 3 Ways The Exchanges Screw With Your Stop Orders
The markets, specifically the exchanges, are totally geared towards screwing the retail investor.
- 70% Win Rate Setup that I Found Hiding in Plain Sight
](https://www.reddit.com/r/tradingmillionaires/?f=flair_name%3A%22Discussion%22)
- A Man for All Markets
* Author: Edward O.
- A Mathematician Plays The Stock Market
* Author: John Allen Paulos * ASIN: B003PJ6UN4 * ISBN: 0465054811 * Reference: https://amazon.com/dp/B003PJ6UN4 * Kindle link
- According to Taleb
Taleb suggests investors ought to be “tail hedging” their portfolios as a result.
- AI trading system outperforms human experts, achieving record gains in real market conditions. We investigated whether its performance is credible.
[](https://store.galileofx.com/pages/landing-classic?utm_source=taboola&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=44233578&utm_content=4121166586&tb…
- Algorithm development stages
- Algorithmic Trading
* Author: Ernest P. Chan * ASIN: B00CY5HC0U * Reference: https://amazon.com/dp/B00CY5HC0U * Kindle link
- Alpha
Evaluating the return of an investment without regard to the risk taken offers very little insight as to how a security or portfolio has…
- Anti Piketti
When Thomas Piketty’s Capital in the 21st Century was published in 2015, it suffered an unexpected fate for a treatise of 700 pages…
- Apparent risk and Actual risk
There are people who I will never encounter in a restaurant.
- AQR fat tails
AQR is not aware that OTM options have \>\> fatter tails than underlying (+ one-tailed), hence hidden moment are substantial.
- Autocorrelation
Markets are very smart in absorbing and reflecting information.
- Backtesting Universa strategy
Portfolio returns are non-ergodic translated into plain English this means that the majority of investors will never get the often…
- BATS download of all the stock symbols they offer
The BATS Exchange offers a nice download of all the stock symbols they offer.
- Beta
Beta is a measure of the volatility, or systematic risk, of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole.
- Beta: A Powerful But Faulty Tool For Managing Risk
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
- Big Mac Index
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/cp/big-mac-index-purchasing-power-parity-burger-inflation/
- Billion Dollar Claim from Black Swan Fund Not from Taleb
On Aug.
- Binary option
In finance, a binary option is a type of option) where the payoff is either some fixed amount of some asset or nothing at all.
- BitCoin
[](https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz%20%289%29_11.jpg?itok=zjrN21cy)
- Bitcoin is Risky. How Institutions Can Manage It
A new paper argues that bitcoin can serve a valuable purpose in institutional portfolios, in spite of its volatility.
- Bitcoin Tether arbitrage
By mapping the blockchains of Bitcoin and Tether, we are able to establish that one large player on Bitfinex uses Tether to purchase large…
- Bitvavo
https://account.bitvavo.com/create?locale=nl&a=bestebank_btcvisie Nederlandse exchange voor digitale valuta’s met een eigen orderboek.
- Black Swan Fund (Taleb) Pounces on Vanishing Volatility
There’s a silver lining for bears getting destroyed by record U.S. stock prices and the relentless credit boom: Prepping for Armageddon…
- Black Swan Hedge Funds
This insurance requires a constant and expensive series of complex options bets.
- Bond Investing issues
Professor Scott Cedarberg These finance professors have looked at historical data in many different stock and bond markets and they've…
- Brokers with .NET stock trading API
Quantitative Finance Stack Exchange is a question and answer site for finance professionals and academics.
- BTC ETF, CFD, Options
Options are available at three exchanges BitMEX Ledger X Deribit was launched in June 2016.
- BTC sentiment driven and correlation with Google search
Well, the knowledge that this market is almost completely sentiment driven.
- Build Your Own Bloomberg-Killer
The Bloomberg Terminal is the de facto standard machine for any professional working in finance.
- Calculate performance and ratios in Excel
Monthly return in %: previous month / current month - 1
- Call Put ratio
In normal circumstances the Put Call ratio is about 1.
- Casino analogy
I eventually moved to futures because I wanted to expand my ability to extract money from the markets during periods when volatility was…
- CBOE - Implied Volatility Indexes
VIX, VXD, VXN, RVX, VXO, VXV, VPD, VPN, GVZ, OVX, VXAPL, VXTH, LOVOL
- CBOE volatility indexes
- CFD Contracts for Difference
Een spread van 2 pips is betekent dat je 0,0002 cent betaald per verhandelde eenheid.
- CFD Interest and Financing Charges
How is interest charged or credited? CFD positions held overnight are subject to overnight financing.
- Changing circumstances
Charlie dated his suspicion of routine to his National Service, and the war games staged to show the Russians just how prepared for attack…
- Codenames
- Cognitum Option Pricer description
Cognitum Option Pricer estimate the option contract price, using historical price returns distribution.
- Cohort strategy
- Collapsed Complexity Predicts Market Reversals
Executive Summary
- Communism
It is well known that socialism is a shortage economy.
- Comparing CFD brokers
http://www.cfdspy.com/brokers.php
- Complexity Economics
* Author: W. Brian Arthur, Eric D.
- Contango
Over the last couple of weeks, the concept of “contango” — the situation where a futures price of a commodity is higher than the spot…
- Contracts for Difference FAQ
Source : https://www.contracts-for-difference.com/ What it Is, Who Trades CFDs & Why trade CFDs Where did CFDs come from, and why the…
- Contrarian investing with prediction market sentiment
The objective is to operationalize a contrarian investment strategy by utilizing prediction markets as a sentiment proxy.
- Coronavirus pandemic tail-risk hedging
The coronavirus pandemic has proved to be a terrific time for tail-risk hedging — the CBOE Eurekahedge Tail Risk Volatility Hedge Fund…
- Corporate Socialism The Government is Bailing Out Investors & Managers Not You
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, With Mark Spitznagel
- Correlation
The stark reality: In a crisis, correlation goes to one, and everything moves in lockstep.
- Covariance
Covariance calculations can give an investor insight into how two stocks might move together in the future.
- Cribs and Ideas to investigate
Slang expression for a pneumatic telegram card.
- Critics Claim Bitcoin Is a Threat to the Environment
One popular critique of bitcoin is energy cost per transaction.
- CSFB Fear Indicator Surges To Record High
As CS' Josh Lukeman points out, the CSFB fear indicator has soared to record highs.
- DATA All Yahoo Finance Stock Tickers
Get the complete list of Yahoo stock ticker symbols in an Excel spreadsheet – over 238000 ticker symbols for stocks, ETFs, mutual funds…
- DATA Alpha Vantage (free)
Backed by the prestigious Y Combinator and composed of a tight-knit community of researchers, engineers, and business professionals, Alpha…
- DATA BTC prices
YAHOO https://www.google.nl/search?q=yahoo+finance+bitcoin+price&oq=yahoo+finance+bitcoin+price&aqs=chrome..69i57j69i64.6797j0j7&sourceid=c…
- DATA Free intraday and tick data
Few months ago, I have made a post about where to find historical end-of-day data for the US market and I have listed 10 websites that…
- DATA Free Intraday Stock Data
Overview offerings: https://rapidapi.com/blog/google-finance-api-alternatives/
- DATA low cost Web Services
http://disktrading.is99.com/disktrading/ (really low cost, but according to my experiences the service and support is not very stable.
- DATA Market & Price Data
List of all symbol on all exchanges http://datasrv.ddfplus.com/names/
- DATA Option Prices
thinkorswim (td ameritrade)
- DATA Stooq Free Historical Data
Data only for private use. Commercial use requires our permission.
- DATA Top 5 Quote feeds
Historical quote vendors can be difficult to locate, as their services aren't exactly mainstream.
- DATA What data sources are available online
World
- DATA Yahoo download
Here's a neat way to download stock data from Yahoo, perhaps into a spreadsheet (so you can play with the data):
- Definition
“Bitcoin will go through hick-ups. It may fail; but then it will be easily reinvented as we now know how it works.
- Definitions
Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is a secured overnight interest rate.
- Definitions 1
Ergodicity refers to a property of a system where every sequence or sizable sample is equally representative of the whole.
- Delta hedging
Delta hedging is an options trading strategy that aims to reduce, or hedge, the directional risk associated with price movements in the…
- Dukascopy tickdata downloader
If you design an automatic trading system, the most common problem that you face is where to get the data for the testing (backtesting to…
- Economics Is Not Rocket Science — It's Even More Complicated
Over the years, I have heard multiple different things described as “not rocket science.”
- Economy
The Utopian Vision of normative economists (of the kind to ask you to make rational choices because that is what is deemed good for you)…
- Economy 1
The Utopian Vision of normative economists (of the kind to ask you to make rational choices because that is what is deemed good for you)…
- ETF
The primary Magnificent Seven ETF is the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS), which offers concentrated, equal-weight exposure to the…
- ETF name breakdown
Example name is: iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc).
- ETFs
- Eugene Fama failure
Fama's reasons was that Fat Tails were "incompatible with the tools in social science".
- Example of Prediction Market
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
- Exotic options
There are three generations of exotics.
- Expected Value Analysis (Babe Ruth Effect)
It’s not the frequency of correctness that matters – but rather the magnitude of correctness that does. . .
- Extreme value theory
Extreme value theory or extreme value analysis (EVA) is a branch of statistics dealing with the extreme deviations from the median of…
- Failed strategies history
- Finally An Intelligent Approach To Black Swan Investing
Listening to investing practitioners and pundits talk, the lay person might get the impression that investing is a rational application of…
- Finance AI - Open Source dotNet
FinanceAI is an open source project under the Ms-RL license with the goal of providing advanced Artificial Intelligence, Statistical and…
- Findings and Analysis
We analyzed 79 events from the November 2024 election, looking at only elections primarily contested between a Democrat and a Republican…
- FIX data structure & message format
Order Status
- FOD Data End of Day Stock Quotes and Historical Prices
20 years of historical data is available across a wide range of international exchanges, including: AMEX, NASDAQ, NYSE, OTCBB, FOREX, TSX…
- Fooled by Randomness
* Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb * ASIN: B001FA0W5W * Reference: https://amazon.com/dp/B001FA0W5W * Kindle link
- Forecast
* Author: Mark Buchanan * ASIN: B009IRP3GW * Reference: https://amazon.com/dp/B009IRP3GW * Kindle link
- Frequancy versus Magnitude
The frequency of correctness does not matter; it is the magnitude of correctness that matters.
- FT Interview Spitznagel
Against the herd: trader Mark Spitznagel on contrarian investing
- Futures
Futures are contracts that derive value from an underlying asset such as a traditional stock, a bond or stock index.
- General rules
1. Position Size: 10% of Your Account This is about trade allocation, not risk.
- Geometric Average vs. Arithmetic Average For Investment Returns
When considering investment returns it is the geometric average, not arithmetic average, that matters.
- Geometric Brownian Motion Simulation with Python | QuantStart
In this article we are going to demonstrate how to generate multiple CSV files of synthetic daily stock pricing and volume data using the analytical solution to the Geometric Brownian Motion stochastic differential equation, for the purposes of examining 'what if?' scenarios in systematic trading.
- Geometric mean returns
{[(1+Return1) x (1+Return2) x (1+Return3)…)]^(1/n)]} – 1
- Ghost Patterns
Renaissance invention
- Gini Coefficient
The Gini coefficient is the mean expected deviation between any two data values scaled by 2 times the mean.
- Global Riot Against Psuedo-Experts (Taleb)
Economist-mathematician Nassim Nicholas Taleb contends that there is a global riot against pseudo-experts After predicting the 2008…
- Golden Cross
Below the long-only golden cross timing strategy in adjusted SPY ETF data since inception:
- Google searches proves to stock market prediction
Searches of financial terms on Google can be used to predict the direction of the stock market, according to an analysis of search engine…
- Google Sets, Still Available
Missing Google Sets? It's one of the first Google Labs projects and it was discontinued last year.
- Greeks
delta, gamma, theta, vega, and rho, which measure the option’s sensitivity to changes in underlying asset price, implied volatility, time…
- Hedge Funds Jargon
Welcome to the _Book of Jargon__® –_ Hedge Funds.
- Hedge Hunters
* Author: Katherine Burton * ASIN: B003RCJE82 * Reference: https://amazon.com/dp/B003RCJE82 * Kindle link
- Here's How Hedge Funds Explore Prediction Markets For Investment Insights
Hedge funds are beginning to utilize data from prediction markets to shape their investment strategies. Historically, hedge funds have been reluctant to engage with prediction markets due to the challenges associated with trading on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. These platforms often lack the depth necessary for larger bets on macro developments, and getting approval from compliance teams can be difficult. However, proprietary trading firms such as Susquehanna have begun to explore these
- Het geldmonopolie van de overheid en de “Great Reset”
Het monetair stelsel van ongedekt papiergeld is een economisch en sociaal destructief systeem – met verstrekkende, schadelijke economische…
- Het Z-score-model
Om uw vermogen in stand te houden, moet u zo veel mogelijk weten over risico en rendement.
- HFT arbitrage
With extremely fast orders what HFT tries to achieve is take advantage of the bid-ask spread for essentially a risk-free trade.
- Historic properties
“FANG,” comprised of Facebook (now Meta), Amazon, Netflix, and Google (now Alphabet), as a shorthand for the best performing technology…
- History Is Not On The Side Of Crypto's Grave-Dancers
On June 12, 1817 in the city of Mannheim, Germany, a local inventor by the name of Karl von Drais unveiled a brand new, futuristic…
- How A Goat Farmer Built A Doomsday Machine That Just Booked A 4,144% Return
It’s early April and from his farm perched atop a hill on the edge of Lake Michigan, hedge fund investor Mark Spitznagel is dodging the…
- How to Beat Hedge Funds at Their Game
Andrew Beer explains Dynamic Beta ETF’s 23% return this year
- How to Place more effective stops
Having been on both sides of the aisle; the trader side and the brokerage side, I think I have a different perspective on the this issue…
- How To Prepare For The Coming Market Crash
Hedge-funder Mark Spitznagel believes the central banks have created a monster they don’t know how to stop.
- How to Read a Financial Statement
If you want to be a successful investor, there's one absolutely critical skill you need to acquire, and that is the ability to read a…
- How to Use Trigonometry to Detect Regime Changes in Financial Markets
A step-by-step guide — computed manually and automated in Python — that shows how to obtain In‑Phase... Tagged with machinelearning, algorithms, finance.
- I Found A New Profitable Trading Strategy with Python
I Found A New Profitable Trading Strategy with Python Testing a trading approach centered on the PVI indicator on Microsoft stock with the…
- I tested the classic S&P 500 reconstitution trade. The mechanism is real, but the easy trade seems dead.
I've been looking at one of the most famous forced-flow anomalies in finance: the S&P 500 inclusion/deletion effect. The mechanis
- IG Labs API
REST trading and streaming APIs Automate trades, build integrations and create trading apps using our market-leading CFD and spread…
- IG Markets
Live prices Rekening bij IG is gratis.
- Images
- Implied Volatility
Recently, there has been interest in 2 IV metrics: IV Rank and IV Percentile.
- Implied Volatility
Youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FeEsaVzVcy0&ab_channel=PatrickBoyle
- Import.IO Scraping service
There is an awful lot of great data online which has the potential to power awesome next-generation apps and services.
- Index rebalancing
Rating ★★★★☆
- IndexIQ
If you were to put a group of rocket scientists, academics, and researchers in a jail cell for 10 years with nothing but historical stock…
- Inflation Hedge
The Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility & Inflation Hedge ETF (IVOL), launched in…
- Insurance InvestorChronicle
Apocalypse-now insurance Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the options trader turned polymath who introduced the financial world to the apocalyptic…
- Intelligent search engine
Elsewhere, Morgan Stanley is describing its new Natural Language Programming bot, AskResearch as “kind of like having a junior analyst”.
- Interesting Products
- Interesting Products 1
Simplify US Equity Plus Downside Convexity ETF SPD is one of the first ETFs to launch from Simplify.
- Interesting Products 2
- Inverse ETFs
Inverse ETFs are one example of antifragile investments because they are designed to increase in value when market prices fall.
- Investing Fun Quotes
It is much more sound to take risks you can measure than to measure the risks you are taking.
- ISIN code
Option Explicit
- It's Not What You 'Know', It's What The Market 'Believes' That Matters
The greatest truth about markets is it’s not what you think you know that matters.
- Just in time vs Just in case Hedging
The cost of hedging can vary significantly over any given timeframe, and “just in time” hedging is nearly impossible: By the time an…
- Kalman Filter
A Kalman filter is a linear model that is very popular among quantitative traders.
- Kalman filter pairs trading
http://www.thealgoengineer.com/2014/online_linear_regression_kalman_filter/
- Leveraged ETF
Research suggests leveraged ETF can be very suitable for short-term trading.
- Linear versus Non Linear regression
Many years ago, a portfolio manager asked me in a phone interview: "Do you believe that linear or nonlinear models are more powerful in…
- Liquidity Effect
Not based on information but on needing cash or rebalance.
- Losing per time frame
- Lucretius Problem
To illustrate the dangers of using Mediocristan data sets to predict future outcomes he references the tales written by the Roman poet…
- Machine Learning Strategies
There can be two types of approaches to building strategies, model based or data mining.
- Magnificent Seven
The seven stocks that have most gains.
- Mark Spitznagel The Ticking Time Bomb
Since the question “when is the crash going to happen?” is always asked, we thought it particularly timely to update the research we have…
- Market data definitions & terminology
The goal of this article is to introduce the concepts, terminology and code structures required to develop applications that utilise…
- Market Facts
De S&P 500 is sinds 1945 met 667,000% gegroeid. Inflatie gecorrigeerd 36,647%.
- Market Neutral Straddle Strategy
In trading, there are numerous sophisticated trading strategies designed to help traders succeed regardless of whether the market moves up…
- Market phases
- Market Recorder for Interactive Brokers
https://www.codeproject.com/Articles/1078609/Market-Recorder-for-Interactive-Brokers-TWS
- Market Winners & Draw Downs
Since 1980 3 out of 4 months are down to all time high.
- Math
Calculate log returns distribution
- Math 1
Calculate log returns distribution
- Math tools & communities
http://mathoverflow.net/ http://mathoverflow.net/questions/22490/correlation-and-causation-when-can-we-believe-correlation-reasonably-at-le…
- Medallion hedge fund strategy
The algorithm uses non linear pair correlations using kernel functions
- MIT researcher created algorithm Twitter trends
An MIT researcher says he has created an algorithm that can identify Twitter trends hours before the service can itself.
- Momentum
Momentum trading refers to a general class of strategies which extrapolate from existing trends.
- Monte Carlo simulation
There is no foolproof way to predict the future, but a Monte Carlo simulation that allows for the real possibility of disaster can give a…
- Monte Carlo Simulation 1
- Multicharts Supported Data Feeds
Most traders subscribe to a real-time data feed from a data vendor, because they need to get intraday data.
- Nasdaq Building Tool to Predict Crypto Price Movements
Nasdaq might be on the cusp of giving institutional investors an analytical edge on trading hundreds of crypto assets.
- NASDAQ Trading Schedule
NASDAQ Stock Market regular trading sessions (Eastern Time)
- Nassim Taleb and Universa versus the World
Why does everyone hate tail-risk hedgers?
- Nassim Taleb explains how fragile economies crumble under stress
Nassim Taleb explains how to invest in fragile and 'antifragile' economies The author of The Black Swan explains his latest 'antifragile'…
- Nassim Taleb references
Websites List of websites where you can find content related to Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Nassim Taleb’s 6 tips for embracing risk
Bestselling author and Wall Street veteran Nassim Taleb on how to build an “antifragile” portfolio
- Nassim Taleb's Fund Made Nassim Taleb's Fund Made $1 Billion On Monday
You can't say Nassim Taleb didn't warn you: the outspoken academic-philosopher, best known for his prediction that six sigma "fat tail"…
- Negative carry
drip-by-drip losses funds produce in good times
- Nicholas Taleb Against Establishment Economists
Throwing Down the Gauntlet Nicholas Taleb is making waves again – and in a good way, as we will explain below.
- Notes
It is not frequency but outcome/magnitude that drives payoff.
- Notes
Just a moment... #### Annualize monthly returns https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=unHD_hIzbRM #### Expected return Beta, the risk-free rate…
- Notes
study risk taking, not risk management
- Open Source Trading Bots
Crypto trading bots are tools used by traders to take the fear and emotion out of their trading.
- Open Trader .NET HFT
Open Trader is an Open Source grade trading suite, targeted at high-frequency algorithmic trading and statistical arbitrage.
- Opening Gap Reversion & Futures Momentum
Start with the SPX universe, buy the 10 stocks that gapped down most at the open, and short the 10 that gapped up most.
- Option ‘Strangles’ as Bitcoin Goes Quiet
A strangle is essentially a bet that bitcoin’s price won’t break out anytime soon.
- Option Valuation Black Scholes
- Optionality 1
The difference between a café and a restaurant? It’s not as simple as it seems.
- Options (as a hedging strategy)
ITM : in the money; strike price is lower than the spot price ATM : at the money; strike and spot price are equal.
- Options How To (NL)
Wanneer u opties koopt, betaalt u een premie.
- Order flow
Order flow is signed transaction volume: if an order is executed at the ask price, the incremental order flow is +(order size); if…
- Order Flow Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets
In this article we consider Level II order book data of the most traded cryptocurrency product —BitMEX XBTUSD contract.
- Outcome vs Strategy based
Outcome-Based Strategies Outcome-based investment strategies start with an expected long-term return.
- Overview of concrete investment ideas and strategies
Bordereau (Frans voor 'lijst' of 'rekening') is een gedetailleerd rapport of overzicht, vaak gebruikt om grote hoeveelheden data te…
- Overview Prediction Markets
https://kalshi.com/ Kalshi Inc. is an American financial exchange and prediction market based in New York City, offering event contracts.
- Pairs trading
The pairs trade or pair trading is a market neutral trading strategy enabling traders to profit from virtually any market conditions…
- Peak-finding algorithm for Python/SciPy
I can write something myself by finding zero-crossings of the first derivative or something, but it seems like a common-enough function to be included in standard libraries. Anyone know of one?My
- Performance measures
- Sharp ratio - Sortino - Semivariance = downside only - Period Statistics: high, low, drawdown - Up days & Down days for selected periods
- Polycrisis
Many things happen at the same time
- Precautionary principle
Tail events are silent risks
- Predicting Stock and Option Prices
I’m a Math major and work as an Analyst in Technology, but I’ve been digging into the underlying stats behind options trading and found it…
- Prediction is a wrong word; detect fragility - Nassim Taleb
Q: Let me start with an autobiographical question - you are one of those rare people who profited in the 1987 crash and in the 2007 crisis…
- Prediction Markets
Because markets react to predictions about them, which creates feedback loops that impact the system’s behavior and outcomes.
- Prediction Markets for Hedging
You’ve been talking about prediction markets as tools for hedging, not just trading.
- Predictions
Probability is not a mere computation of odds on the dice or more complicated variants; it is the acceptance of the lack of certainty in…
- Price drop periods
- Probability Distribution
The Polya process can be presented as follows: Assume an urn initially containing equal quantities of black and red balls.
- Problem with GDP BNP
GDP (gross domestic product, sometimes expressed as gross national product (GNP), a distinction without significance for our purposes) is…
- Produceer uw eigen beleggingsproduct
Moeilijk? Valt best wel mee, een voorbeeld. Het aantal complexe én eenvoudige beleggingsproducten is sterk afgenomen.
- QuandlCS
QuandlCS is a simple wrapper around the Quandl API to provide easy access.
- Quantitative Trading More on automated trading platforms
The ideal software platform for automating backtesting and executing your algorithmic trading strategies depends mainly on your level of…
- Quotes
- Quotes 1
- Relative rotation chart
I wanted to get into a little bit more detail about my favorite new sector rotation tool.
- Renaissance strategy
Game Theory for short term only (minutes)
- Research
If betting on the fat tails through out-of-the-money options is a good strategy—meaning a strategy marketable to rational people and…
- Risk Free Rate
The risk-free rate of return is the theoretical rate of return of an investment with zero risk.
- Risk neutral positions out of the money puts (index puts)
From the point of view of my option pricer far-out-of-money index puts are almost always overbought, sometimes in magnitude of tens of…
- Risk vs Uncertainty & Diversification
Investments are risky. The future is uncertain.
- Roll-Yield
XIV – Velocity Shares Daily Inverse VIX short-term ETN XIV is an ETN (exchange-traded-note) that attempts to track the inverse of the…
- Roman separation of money services
Interpretes: agents, know the identity of the buyer Sequestres: where assets are deposited Divisores: distribution of assents
- Rule of 16
The CBOE introduced the VIX in 1993 as a weighted measure of the implied volatility (IV)2 of S&P 100® index (OEX) options.
- S&P domination by 5 stocks
In the S&P 500, the five largest stocks—Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Google and Facebook—account for 20% of the index.
- Safe Haven book summary
At what price does safety come for investors? Cost of risk mitigation is often worse than the feared outcome
- Safe Haven Investing for financial storms by Mark Spitznagel
How many times have you heard the phrase: "Higher returns can only be achieved by taking higher risks."
- Saxobank CFD
- Sentiment Mining BTC
In August, news.Bitcoin.com previewed Predicoin, which was then in early stage development.
- ShortGamma Squeeze
Far out of the money calls Option sellers need to hedge, stock price goes up Investors start buying stock Buy puts Sell options, stock…
- Silver Vs Stocks Comparing Performance During Recessions
Historically, silver has been an alternative to traditional investments like stocks and bonds.
- Simple Stock Valuation
I appreciate Eddy Elfenbein. He comes up with ideas that make me say, “Huh.
- Single-stock mean reversion
Mean-reversion strategies work on the assumption that there is an underlying stable trend in the price of an asset and prices fluctuate…
- Skin in the Game
* Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb * ASIN: B075HYVP7C * ISBN: 0241247470 * Reference: https://amazon.com/dp/B075HYVP7C * Kindle link
- Smart Beta
So-called smart beta strategies, also known as factor-based or alternative indexing, were a hot topic at the recent Morningstar ETF Invest…
- Socialists Claim Their System Is Morally Superior
In a December 23 article published on mises.org, Lipton Matthews made the compelling case for advocates of free market capitalism to…
- Software Packages
NexTicNexTick is an open source software solution for stock traders [day and swing traders].
- Sources
Quiver Quantitative Trade like an insider (track congress members trading)
- Speculation
Speculation is a method for adjusting differences of opinion as to future values whether of products or of stocks.
- Spitznagel Tail Hedge strategy
Learn to seek understanding over data. Ask why a trend exists, who benefits from it, and what would cause it to break.
- Statistical Arbitrage using Neural Network
Instead of focusing on predicting price direction and price volatility with nonlinear models derived with machine learning methods, an…
- Statistical Section
The "Statistical Section" (or Section de Statistique) was the deliberately innocuous cover name for the French Army's counter-espionage…
- Stop Loss strategy
All trading is gambling. Some people refuse to believe it but that doesn’t change it.
- Stoxx 600 index
Europese aandelenindex Stoxx 600
- Strategy
It is not frequency but outcome/magnitude that drives payoff.
- Swaps
A swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange sequences of cash flows for a set period of time.
- Tail Hedging
- Tail Hedging - Universa
CBOE VIX Tail Hedge Index (VXTH)
- Tail Hedging 2
Last week I shared an article on Twitter in which Nassim Taleb, of "Black Swan" fame, was asked, "What are the biggest risks out there…
- Tail Reaper
As the name of our Tail Reaper program implies, it is designed to benefit from tail events.
- Tail risk hedging
Another Tail Risk Hedge Fund Had Eye-Popping March Returns
- Tail Risk Hedging ETFs
A form of protecting funds during a market crash, tail risk hedging ETFs also helped out many investors during 2020 and 2022.
- Tails are all that matters
But once you go through something like that, you realize that the tail-end consequences – the low-probability, high-impact events – are…
- Taleb
“You are rich if and only if money you refuse tastes better than money you accept” — captures a radical idea: true wealth is not measured…
- Taleb Minority Rule
The minority rule will show us how it all it takes is a small number of intolerant virtuous people with skin in the game, in the form of…
- Taleb Quotes
What investors don't know can matter far more than what they think they know—a timely reminder for digital-asset markets where volatility…
- Taleb, the Barbell Portfolio and Safety-First Financial Planning
The “barbell” portfolio has long been considered an investment strategy.
- The Black Swan Index Revisited
Dec.
- The C-J Monte Carlo Simulation Model
C-J is a Monte Carlo simulation model used to assess risk in the S&P 500.
- The great reset
The unbacked paper money system is an economically and socially destructive system—with far-reaching and harmful economic and social…
- The Greeks
Delta (~0.50 ATM): How much your option moves per $1 stock move.
- The Man Who Solved the Market
* Author: Gregory Zuckerman * ASIN: B07NLFC63Y * ISBN: 0593086317 * Reference: https://amazon.com/dp/B07NLFC63Y * Kindle link
- The One Thing An Investor Should Never Fail To Do
Uncertainty should not bother you.
- The Physics of Finance: Predicting the Unpredictable
* Author: James Owen Weatherall * ASIN: B00B73VMB0 * Reference: https://amazon.com/dp/B00B73VMB0 * Kindle link
- The Real Stock Market Risk Is the One You Can't See
There is supposed to be one fundamental truth in investing: If you take on more risk, you can expect a bigger reward.
- The VIX Is Dead, Long Live The 0DTE VIX
Trading in zero-day-to-expiry contracts continues to dominate the options market, leaving the VIX unreflective of underlying market risks.
- There's Nothing Wrong with Short Selling
The recent GameStop short-squeeze drama has riveted financial markets.
- Thomas Sowell Quotes
It is hard to imagine a more stupid or more dangerous way of making decisions than by putting those decisions in the hands of people who…
- Time Series Analysis
- Tobin Q
The Q-Ratio is just the total value of the stock market (numerator) relative to the total net worth of the companies that comprise it…
- TobinQ
One thing that really jumped out at me while reading it was Spitznagel’s research regarding Tobin’s Q, (though he calls it, “The Misesian…
- Trackers moeten hun gekozen index evenaren. Waarom lukt dat niet altijd
Wie snuffelt tussen de vele trackers of etfs op de site van Morningstar stuit op opvallende cijfers.
- Trade like Taleb
Taleb runs Empirica Capital out of an anonymous, concrete office park somewhere in the woods outside Greenwich, Connecticut.
- Trade sizing - Kelly Criterion
Maximize rate of growth should bet a constant fraction of cash on hand.
- Tradelink - Open Source
- Trading applications source code
Javatraders http://groups.google.com/group/JavaTraders To access this group is free, you only need to register.
- Trading is Probabilities, Not Predictions
Do you sometimes wonder what separates successful traders from the 90% who fail?
- Trading parameters
The 7% rule: A simple rule to cut losses by selling a stock if its price drops 7% below the purchase price, helping remove emotion from…
- Trading software projects and products
Most Active Free & Open-Source Projects
- Trading With a Stop
Nassim Taleb one of the greatest risk philosophers of the last century plus has just published a paper: Trading With a Stop
- Twitter Search syntax
With over 2,000 new tweets posted every second, there's a heck of a lot of information to wade through on Twitter, especially if you're…
- UBS hedging for privates
Afraid stock-market record highs will give way to a fall?
- Understanding Option Pricing
You might have had success beating the market by trading stocks using a disciplined process that anticipates a nice move either up or down.
- Understanding VIX
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) measures the implied volatility on S&P 500 Index options with a 30 day forward expiration.
- Universa article
March 2020 was a rough month for hedge funds, with a dismal industry performance of negative eight point one two percent returns across…
- Universa how to Hedge Coronavirus
‘Black Swan’ fund Universa made huge gains in February as markets swooned from coronavirus risk without making any assumptions about the…
- Universa insights
The famous quadruple-digit returns that make headlines when a crisis hits aren’t everything they may seem.
- Universa on Making Money While Markets Crash
Mark Spitznagel, the founder of hedge fund Universa Investments, is one of the most interesting figures in the world of hedge funds.
- Universa pitch
We all want higher returns with lower risk, but of course the two are seen as a trade‑off.
- Universa strategy
The strategies Empirica used were based around buying out of money call and put options.
- User Interface (GUI)
- Uses And Limits Of Volatility
Investors like to focus on the promise of high returns, but they should also ask how much risk they must assume in exchange for these…
- Various
Geometric Brownian Motion
- Various Snippets
News Driven Means Reversion Let's say FTSE100 is 7350 and you fancy an upward movement.
- VIX
Historically the VIX has been about 1% higher than the SP500's actual volatility, and this implied volatility bias has been even higher in…
- VIX as reversal indicator
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a widely followed sentiment indicator.
- VIX instruments
SVXY ZIV VXX VXZ VRP
- VIX too high
VIX is usually 1% higher than the S&P
- Volatility is a Poor Measure of Risk and Alternatives
Volatility (standard deviation) is the standard and widely accepted definition of investment risk.
- VXX Hedging
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SBo5HHANlis
- Wallstreet bets indicator
https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/home
- We tempt fate by disagreeing on BTC with Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is one of our intellectual heroes.
- WH Selfinvest CFD
Koersen zijn identiek aan beurskoersen, geen verhoogde spread.
- What Capitalism Really Means
Descriptive terms which people use are often quite misleading.
- What If the Market Drops 50% Again? Staying the Course
One thing I think about sometimes is what happens if we see another major market crash, something like a 50% decline similar to 2008-2009…
- Why 6040 Visualizing 90 Years Of Stock & Bond Portfolio Performance
Last year, stock and bond returns tumbled after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates at the fastest speed in 40 years.
- Why Does Bitcoin’s Price Make Random, Sudden Downward Moves
A common knock on bitcoin is that it is “too volatile.”
- Why some people are poor - Henry Hazlitt
Throughout history, until about the middle of the 18th century, mass poverty was nearly everywhere the normal condition of man.
- Why This Bubble Economy Keeps Going and Going
Quite a few people may wonder why the global fiat money system has not yet collapsed.
- XIRR
XIRR = IRR for series: Computes the internal rate of return (IRR) for a non-periodic cash flow, i.e., where each payment made or received…
- Yahoo Finance symbol data
Here is a list of the data available: