Quotes
- Natte straten veroorzaken regen
- Simpsons paradox; two sets that combined show opposite results
Causality: There is another problem; even assuming statistical significance, one has to accept a cause and effect, meaning that the event in the market can be linked to the cause proffered. ={orange}Post hoc ergo propter hoc =(it is the consequence because it came after).
Say hospital A delivered 52% boys and hospital B delivered the same year only 48%; would you try to give the explanation that you had a boy because it was delivered in hospital A?
Our mind is not equipped with the adequate machinery to handle probabilities.